Singapore restaurant crunch – probably a good thing

So we hear the Restaurant Association of Singapore prophesying doom for the industry and pain for Singapore if the FW tap is tightened. Maybe they are just trying to preempt the reaction to a price increase. Perhaps I am being sensitive, but what chilled me was how the RAS statement read almost like a veiled threat against their customers and the government.

The RAS statement read thus, “Businesses may be forced to shut down or move their operations to other countries, a situation which will deprive the Singapore government of tax income; consumers can expect food prices to increase, due to high operating costs caused by artificial wage inflation, high-cost productivity drive and high rentals

Consumers can expect higher food prices without a concomitant increase in quality and service standards due to lack of manpower. In fact, quality and service may decline…

This justifies the need for more manpower. If the dire situation persists, not only will revenue be channelled abroad, the reputation of Singapore as a global city and its F&B/restaurant sector as one of the most vibrant, could be severely affected.

Like, for real, guys?

“Forced to shut down”

Pardon my ignorance, but doesn’t this happen every day? Isn’t this how the market operates? Poorly managed restaurants will fold or be sold. Inefficient businesses will fail and well-run businesses will survive. When times are good, it is easier for weak businesses to survive, but lean times prove the strong. While there is room for “protectionist” measures like increasing the supply of cheap foreign labour, subsidising operating costs, and absentee-payroll-funded training during downturns, it is very strange to have these “benefits” in place when companies are not at unusual risk of failure.

Being an SME owner myself, I have seen something of how these policies have made my own company “lazy” in our HR and hiring, although I do make efforts to change this. Perhaps too many companies in Singapore have become reliant on “welfare” from our state and need to be weaned off this psychology. Since when should it ever be considered the norm that a government would import cheap foreign labour just so that companies could make better profits?

“Depriving the government of tax income”

Clearly there is no sense of the macro view here, and RAS is simply trying to hold state coffers at an imaginary ransom. For starters, I can’t imagine the impact of the new policies on government revenue (or at least on GDP) hasn’t been estimated already – as weak as the white paper was, it did make clear that we were going for slower growth, but still growth nonetheless. Moreover, what do you think the government does during a recession, when ALL companies and individuals make less money, and hence pay less tax? I’m sure we’ll survive just fine, even if the restaurant industry does shed some profitability. In fact, a bunch of restaurants closing down, or an increase in cost doesn’t necessarily reduce total consumption (GST). Inefficient businesses closing and efficient businesses picking up their clients actually means MORE tax revenue for the government because profit margins are better at better restaurants.

“Caused by artificial wage inflation”

Shortsightedness helps the RAS to ignore the fact that artificial wage stagnation has been happening for years because of the artificial supply of artificially large numbers of cheap foreign workers. Sure, penny-pinching diners are partly to blame as well, but this is certainly not a case of “artificial wage inflation” – it is a market correction for the price of labour. It will hurt for sure since everyone has been operating on the assumption that you can underpay staff and still get everything you (didn’t) pay for, but at least it will reflect reality.

“High-cost productivity drive”

Wikipedia defines productivity as the “ratio of production output to what is required to produce it”. Productivity is about making resources more efficient. If efforts at “productivity” result in the unit cost of the product being higher, as RAS seems to suggest, then you’re doing it wrong. No wonder you can’t get your manpower act together. I sure as heck am not going to pay more for my food just because your “productivity drive” was a dismal failure.

“High rentals”

Perhaps the only semi-valid factor listed so far is the cost of rentals. Market forces and government policies have done little to abate the rising cost of rentals. Yet, this would only be par for the course in business, so feel free to lobby for cheaper rentals, raise prices, or move over and let some other restaurant that is more efficient take over.

“Higher food prices without a concomitant increase in quality”

RAS talks about this like it’s news. Prices at restaurants are always going up without any improvement in quality, and patrons already expect this. Unless you rebrand and relaunch your establishment, nobody is expecting your quality to change much at all. Low-end restaurants will always serve that same quality of food, no matter how much you pay. High-class establishments will (I hope) always deliver the very best, no matter the cost (that’s why you go there, isn’t it?). When the price of a cup of kopi went up by $0.10 or $0.20, did anyone expect better kopi? We just assumed that down the line, someone was getting shafted and had had enough of it, so the consumer had to foot the bill.

Same thing here – staff have been underpaid for too long and somebody is going to have to pay so that some justice can be done. Will quality and service decline? Only if your restaurant sucks. If the customer is footing the bill for the increased manpower cost, we full well expect that standards remain the same or get better (because you will attract better workers). The restaurant isn’t hiring fewer staff, the staff just cost more. If you cut staff, then you shouldn’t increase prices.

“Singapore’s F&B reputation will be affected”

I’m just going to call their bluff here and say that they’re trying to scare us. If our F&B industry is built on the premise of undervalued labour and the concomitant lackadaisical service that we have been experiencing to date, then perhaps that reputation is deserved. I for one would rather make an effort to do it right than to do it cheap and plenty. I wouldn’t equate “cheap and plenty” with “vibrant” either.

During the 2008 global downturn, even star restauranteurs like Gordon Ramsey had to close restaurants in order to survive. Does the RAS expect its members’ businesses to be immune? That is an entitlement attitude of the worst kind.

What I hope will happen

The “dire labour shortage” is a symptom. What contributes to it, however, is the real question. Is it just a question of “too few hands”? Certainly not – there are people in the job market with the ability to fill many roles in F&B. The truth is that the work is hard, hours are long and the pay is low when compared with an equivalent-paying job that is less physically demanding in another industry.

With slower growth in our foreign labour force, I hope to see companies (and staff) taking a long-term view of their HR. Retain and train workers, pay them well, encourage stability and familiarity. Mutual respect between employer and employee will contribute more to productivity than some fancy robot wok-frying machine. In the short stint I did as a waiter for a restaurant chain back when I was 18, I saw examples of how training was vital and gained a healthy respect for the hardened veterans of the restaurant business.

I hope Singaporeans (and foreigners) learn that respect too – for F&B workers and for all professions – because a man who works to put food on the table (pardon the pun) is ultimately always worthy of respect, no matter how much he earns or if he is wiping your spittle off off the table with a cloth. Instead of whinging about rising costs, RAS should welcome the opportunity to raise the quality and status of the people in their industry.



  1. Hi there just wanted to give you a quick heads up. The words in
    your article seem to be running off the screen in Internet explorer.
    I’m not sure if this is a formatting issue or something to do with internet browser compatibility but I thought I’d post to let you know.
    The design and style look great though! Hope you get the issue resolved
    soon. Many thanks


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